Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000278 0.000311 0.000347 0.000389 0.000436 0.000488 0.000549
2024-12-29 0.000214 0.000261 0.000316 0.000386 0.000474 0.000581 0.000720
2025-01-05 0.000184 0.000238 0.000307 0.000402 0.000529 0.000695 0.000931
2025-01-12 0.000155 0.000211 0.000285 0.000393 0.000547 0.000761 0.001086
2025-01-19 0.000130 0.000184 0.000260 0.000374 0.000545 0.000796 0.001199
2025-01-26 0.000118 0.000172 0.000252 0.000378 0.000575 0.000880 0.001395
2025-02-02 0.000111 0.000168 0.000254 0.000396 0.000628 0.001002 0.001670
2025-02-09 0.000100 0.000156 0.000243 0.000391 0.000644 0.001067 0.001858
2025-02-16 0.000093 0.000148 0.000238 0.000395 0.000672 0.001157 0.002101
2025-02-23 0.000085 0.000139 0.000229 0.000391 0.000687 0.001223 0.002312
2025-03-02 0.000079 0.000133 0.000224 0.000393 0.000713 0.001313 0.002580
2025-03-09 0.000073 0.000126 0.000217 0.000392 0.000732 0.001391 0.002836
2025-03-16 0.000065 0.000115 0.000202 0.000374 0.000717 0.001404 0.002966
2025-03-23 0.000061 0.000110 0.000198 0.000375 0.000742 0.001503 0.003305
2025-03-30 0.000059 0.000108 0.000200 0.000391 0.000799 0.001676 0.003845
2025-04-06 0.000054 0.000101 0.000191 0.000383 0.000803 0.001736 0.004129
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000093 0.000178 0.000364 0.000783 0.001737 0.004266
2025-04-20 0.000046 0.000090 0.000176 0.000368 0.000813 0.001860 0.004744
2025-04-27 0.000045 0.000090 0.000180 0.000386 0.000876 0.002073 0.005505
2025-05-04 0.000043 0.000085 0.000174 0.000381 0.000888 0.002158 0.005930
2025-05-11 0.000041 0.000083 0.000172 0.000385 0.000919 0.002298 0.006543
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000079 0.000167 0.000381 0.000931 0.002391 0.007034
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000077 0.000164 0.000383 0.000959 0.002532 0.007710